Nocturnal-Emergent
0xe168dd7f9af5ee5a4bd1cc8690469fcdf116cb29
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$88.89
Total PnL
$-17.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
23 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$22.71
$0.39
- NO
Will Rafael Jódar win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
22 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$22.49
$1.29
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 27-May 3?
22 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$22.07
$0.66
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
22 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$21.62
$0.28
- NO
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?$22.32Apr 27, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 27-May 3?$21.45Apr 27, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$21.34Apr 27, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Jódar win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?$21.24Apr 27, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$20.52Apr 27, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$20.69Apr 27, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?$21.27Apr 27, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$21.72Apr 27, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?$21.12Feb 21, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$21.44Feb 21, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$20.34Feb 21, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$20.55Feb 21, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?$20.12Feb 21, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $90 December 29-January 4?$20.20Feb 21, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$20.30Feb 21, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$20.83Feb 21, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$21.48Feb 21, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alexander Grischuk win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?$21.84Feb 21, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$21.12Dec 29, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Grischuk win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?$21.12Dec 29, 17:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $20.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 17:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 20:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.