0xe16c1f60e97277b7b77eefde992f6ae909818129
0xe16c1f60e97277b7b77eefde992f6ae909818129
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
124
Open notional
$99.27
Total PnL
$-156.71
Realised
$-70.07
Win rate
34%
102 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 124- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 12?
12 shares @ 32.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$12.47
$8.39
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.62
$5.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on February 12?
10 shares @ 10.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$9.55
$8.53
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 12?
4 shares @ 48.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$4.24
$2.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on February 12?
3 shares @ 92.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$3.37
$0.24
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 66.7¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.32
$0.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 68°F or higher on February 13?
3 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$3.10
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 12?
2 shares @ 94.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$2.23
$0.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on February 13?
2 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$2.13
$0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 56-57°F on February 13?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$2.06
$0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on February 12?$0.00Mar 2, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 13?$0.00Mar 1, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on February 13?$0.00Mar 1, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 13?$0.00Mar 1, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on February 14?$0.00Mar 1, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on February 12?$0.00Mar 1, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on February 12?$0.00Mar 1, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on February 12?$0.00Mar 1, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 14?$0.00Mar 1, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 14?$0.00Mar 1, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on February 12?$0.00Mar 1, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$0.00Mar 1, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$0.00Mar 1, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 12?$0.00Mar 1, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 68°F or higher on February 13?$0.00Mar 1, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on February 12?$0.00Mar 1, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 12?$0.00Mar 1, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 12?$0.00Mar 1, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?$0.00Mar 1, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 12?$0.00Mar 1, 02:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 03:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 04:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 102 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".