Upbeat-Jaguar-Crow
0xe1702ae58b5930e5e98d1bdf5d1040888a682c53
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$19.7K
Total PnL
$-347.08
Realised
$-63.30
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?
3913 shares @ 96.8¢·now 94.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.7K
$-77.12
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?
2896 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.9K
$24.04
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?
2427 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.4K
$8.09
- NO
Will XRP reach $1.40 in July?
1346 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.3K
$10.82
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
1300 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.3K
$-6.20
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
1200 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.2K
$6.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
1050 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.0K
$11.63
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
879 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$875.51
$4.78
- NO
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
819 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$813.71
$4.83
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
531 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$528.07
$7.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$2.67Jul 28, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$155.25Jul 28, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$5.31Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$26.22Jul 28, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$5.34Jul 28, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$5.29Jul 28, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$5.28Jul 28, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$27.44Jul 28, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$0.11Jul 28, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$0.02Jul 28, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$0.02Jul 28, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$0.10Jul 28, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$0.20Jul 28, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$0.30Jul 28, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$0.02Jul 28, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$0.02Jul 28, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$0.02Jul 28, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$0.57Jul 28, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$0.20Jul 28, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$0.02Jul 28, 18:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $17.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.