Lasting-Rite
0xe1773183434cb9fb5e97f841e89dcb57389a3800
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-448.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
999 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-49.97
- DUCKWORTH
Set 1 Winner: Duckworth vs Napolitano
225 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-148.47
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
130 shares @ 77.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
72 shares @ 68.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-48.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
59 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-49.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
52 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-49.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$36.87Jul 9, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$33.10Jul 3, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$33.19Jul 2, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$26.06Jun 25, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$100.68Jun 25, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$118.08Jun 24, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$100.46Jun 24, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$108.89Jun 24, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$98.29Jun 24, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$98.51Jun 22, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$83.24Jun 22, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$83.19Jun 20, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$58.00Jun 20, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.18Apr 15, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.00Apr 15, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$1.21Apr 15, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$1.00Apr 15, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.00Apr 15, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.78Apr 15, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.00Apr 15, 17:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $73.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 19:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 19:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.