Alarmed-Soliloquy
0xe178c1fca1ff20b8f8f521f793b5ac87b29439b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-232.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 6PM ET
206 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.47
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on March 26?
149 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.19
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3AM ET
147 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 20?
123 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?
108 shares @ 98.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-106.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 22?
108 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 24?
108 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.98
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 23, 6PM ET
84 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 31?
83 shares @ 97.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.77
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 17?
79 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.29
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?$16.98Jun 2, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?$15.55Jun 1, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 30?$8.65May 29, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 26?$25.83May 26, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 26?$24.38May 26, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?$17.77May 19, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19?$16.10May 19, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 19?$1.38May 18, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$106.90May 17, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 10?$98.13May 10, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 10?$96.56May 9, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25?$0.00May 1, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 20?$1.59Apr 20, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMTom Lee mindshare all time high by March 31?$110.23Apr 15, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 1?$1.55Apr 1, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTom Lee mindshare all time high by March 31?$107.58Mar 31, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 23?$0.00Mar 31, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 30?$3.11Mar 30, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 29?$0.00Mar 29, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 27?$121.34Mar 28, 04:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $38.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 17:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 20:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.