Frizzy-Kingdom
0xe179320fc69bdd6da10c57a2aa3bfa1a94bd1ede
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-23.3K
Realised
$745.97
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- YES
No Eigenlayer token launch in 2024?
63141 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-876.46
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4
59013 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-728.34
- YES
Will 'Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire' gross between $35m-40m opening weekend?
29369 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2024$0.00
$-156.01
- NO
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
27166 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2024$0.00
$-4.4K
- NO
Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?
21891 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34
19556 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-98.92
- YES
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
19215 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2024$0.00
$-514.89
- YES
Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross under $70m opening weekend?
16508 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2024$0.00
$-1.5K
- NO
Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?
15000 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-588.66
- NO
LayerZero airdrop by June 30?
13428 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2024$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- REDEEMT20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)$18.32Jul 21, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)$9.34Feb 11, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill India join the Board of Peace?$4.34Feb 11, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$5.00Feb 11, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYU19 World Cup: India Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19s$65.60Feb 1, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYU19 World Cup: India Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19s$82.00Feb 1, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYU19 World Cup: India Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19s$26.79Feb 1, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYU19 World Cup: India Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19s$45.75Feb 1, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYU19 World Cup: India Under-19s vs Pakistan Under-19s$15.85Feb 1, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$2.20Feb 1, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMAustralian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev$199.99Feb 1, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev$8.40Jan 30, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev$0.81Jan 30, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev$22.99Jan 30, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?$3.96Jan 30, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?$26.00Jan 30, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMoonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?$49.00Jan 28, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Team Envy vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs$16.00Jan 26, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Team Envy vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs$46.65Jan 26, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Team Envy vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs$5.32Jan 26, 02:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $27.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 16:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 04:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.