Sinful-Marker
0xe18acef0b8ae07633417f5b42f7c69e0752118e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.6K
Realised
$-2.1K
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?
213627 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-236.70
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
180000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
103699 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-325.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 3?
62284 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-847.94
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 9?
22709 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-58.88
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on March 9?
18364 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 9?
16137 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-592.11
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 9?
15044 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?
13192 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-232.64
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?
10230 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.6K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?$161.32May 6, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?$87.33May 6, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 12?$10.15Apr 13, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$35.61Apr 13, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 12?$0.05Apr 13, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 12?$7.20Apr 13, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 12?$0.06Apr 13, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 12?$28.21Apr 13, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 12?$1.95Apr 13, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 12?$8.79Apr 12, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 12?$0.45Apr 12, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 12?$253.11Apr 12, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 12?$0.09Apr 12, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 12?$0.35Apr 12, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 12?$0.28Apr 12, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 12?$0.17Apr 12, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 12?$1.30Apr 12, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 12?$8.70Apr 12, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 12?$0.12Apr 12, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 12?$10.01Apr 12, 17:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $244.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 15:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 18:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".