Confused-Markup
0xe191af9cd65cf05c13b1ea4de775f7f281e38ef5
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$11.84
Total PnL
$1.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$1.89
$0.89
- YES
Will Flamengo win the 2025 Brasileiro Serie A league?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Norway win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will Bitcoin close above $100K on July 31?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Vitality win the BLAST Open London 2025 tournament?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
XRP above $3.10 on August 15?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$1.00Sep 17, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality win the BLAST Open London 2025 tournament?$1.00Sep 3, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$1.00Aug 26, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP above $3.10 on August 15?$1.00Aug 14, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Aug 6, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flamengo win the 2025 Brasileiro Serie A league?$1.00Jul 29, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jul 24, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by August 31?$1.00Jul 24, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.00Jul 15, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin close above $100K on July 31?$1.00Jul 9, 10:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 10:58 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 17, 11:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.