Natural-Manifestation
0xe194500d6e7125ed69341165f2490c027b4df65b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-298.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
212 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-106.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
194 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-97.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 16, 2AM ET
190 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-95.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$2.50Dec 17, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$103.50Dec 17, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$4.00Dec 17, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$93.00Dec 17, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 16, 1AM ET$186.00Dec 16, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$198.00Dec 16, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$7.50Dec 16, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$91.50Dec 16, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 16, 2AM ET$6.50Dec 16, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 16, 2AM ET$88.50Dec 16, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 16, 1AM ET$4.00Dec 16, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 16, 1AM ET$89.00Dec 16, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another team win La Liga?$188.24Jan 23, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another team win La Liga?$188.43Jan 23, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester United wins the Premier League?$222.11Jan 22, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester United wins the Premier League?$222.33Jan 22, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$187.58Jan 22, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$188.35Jan 22, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester United wins the Premier League?$249.00Jan 22, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester United wins the Premier League?$249.25Jan 22, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $149.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 19:37 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 17, 02:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".