Incredible-Trophy
0xe194e9a4845b1b42a6c8171e83dca1bdb0125dea
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
121
Open notional
$31.47
Total PnL
$-816.35
Realised
$40.99
Win rate
72%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 121- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.81
$18.81
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
127 shares @ 7.9¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.66
$-2.34
- NO
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 15?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
1100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
1041 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-80.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
622 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-23.27
- YES
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-16?
349 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-97.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
332 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-19.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
327 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-16.52
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
281 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-45.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$5.27May 10, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.46May 10, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?$322.72May 10, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$5.00Apr 17, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$10.00Apr 17, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$10.00Apr 17, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.00Apr 16, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.00Apr 16, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$6.55Apr 16, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$10.00Apr 16, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.00Apr 16, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.00Apr 16, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-16?$50.00Apr 16, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-16?$100.00Apr 16, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?$10.00Apr 16, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?$216.27Apr 16, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?$48.17Apr 16, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$5.00Apr 16, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$0.64Apr 16, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$5.00Apr 16, 13:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $18.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 12:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 01:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".