Impolite-Degradation
0xe19662650c053c5029b5c318f24826d4b63b0a92
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-841.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on May 31?
499 shares @ 85.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-426.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12?
169 shares @ 70.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 12?
116 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-18.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 8?
75 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 3?
63 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 5?
59 shares @ 50.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 7?
57 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 4?
35 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 4?
32 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 1?
32 shares @ 86.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-27.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 22?$5.26Jun 22, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?$5.49Jun 22, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?$5.02Jun 22, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 22?$5.01Jun 22, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?$5.26Jun 17, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 16?$5.15Jun 16, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 16?$5.15Jun 16, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 16?$5.32Jun 16, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 16?$5.11Jun 16, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 16?$5.49Jun 16, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on June 16?$6.25Jun 16, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 16?$5.15Jun 16, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 16?$5.02Jun 16, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16?$5.03Jun 16, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 16?$5.01Jun 16, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 16?$5.01Jun 16, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 16?$5.01Jun 16, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 15?$5.19Jun 16, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 15?$5.38Jun 16, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?$5.01Jun 16, 07:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $12.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 11:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 16:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.