Flustered-Authority
0xe19a0c6b35c83e2d5cb10f3b3603c87e61120823
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-805.59
Realised
$40.75
Win rate
70%
43 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
1101 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
571 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?
370 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-78.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
326 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
120 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?
120 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
120 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-26.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
120 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-4.65
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$7.15May 17, 10:58 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.45May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?$72.79May 16, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?$5.38May 16, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?$0.27May 16, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$2.11May 16, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.29May 16, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.26May 16, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.95May 16, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$17.73May 16, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$13.25May 16, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$28.50May 16, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$6.84May 16, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$2.66May 16, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$8.29May 16, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$11.31May 16, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$9.53May 16, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$10.47May 16, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?$14.61May 15, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$5.62May 15, 09:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $7.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 09:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 10:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 43 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.