Likable-Messenger
0xe1a116ff1d89a9c0d3d20fff948aa6b0cad3e7db
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$1.24
Total PnL
$-272.95
Realised
$-5.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 23?
83 shares @ 3.6¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.24
$-1.74
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 20?
154 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.38
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 18?
107 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 23?
100 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 11?
98 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 18?
94 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.76
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 13?
94 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.36
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 18?
88 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.16
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 23?
74 shares @ 93.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-69.33
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 12?
74 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 23?$3.18Jul 22, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 20?$3.61Jul 20, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 7?$1.21Jul 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 3?$66.80Jul 3, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 3?$64.26Jul 3, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 1?$73.31Jun 1, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 1?$71.11May 31, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 24?$79.63May 24, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 24?$77.32May 24, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 20?$17.46May 17, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $100 May 4-10?$48.33May 11, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 May 4-10?$46.16May 10, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 17?$60.19May 10, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 19?$0.00Apr 27, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 20?$16.22Apr 20, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on December 8?$0.00Apr 18, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 17?$57.24Apr 16, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 15?$2.77Apr 14, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 11?$2.33Apr 10, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$81.14Apr 10, 21:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $34.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 13:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 18:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.