Powerful-Table
0xe1a36f6d9f8d14a6237134067abe3830c87b24ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
148
Open notional
$232.74
Total PnL
$-11.7K
Realised
$-1.6K
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 148- YES
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
2003 shares @ 14.1¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$78.10
$-204.90
- YES
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
3545 shares @ 3.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$54.95
$-75.05
- NO
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
1760 shares @ 16.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$36.08
$-259.50
- YES
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
3873 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$23.24
$-26.76
- YES
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?
1111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$15.00
$-85.00
- YES
Will there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
4680 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.36
$-40.64
- YES
Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
5528 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.29
$-41.70
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
59 shares @ 3.4¢·now 5.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.18
$1.18
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.31
$-0.69
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.15
$-0.85
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?$74.96Jul 29, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?$117.58Jul 29, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?$147.45Jul 29, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?$152.95Jul 29, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?$43.00Jul 28, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?$100.00Jul 28, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?$88.41Jul 28, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?$86.31Jul 28, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?$30.00Jul 28, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?$50.00Jul 28, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 60 and 80 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?$50.00Jul 28, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?$50.00Jul 28, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?$100.00Jul 28, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?$200.00Jul 27, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?$295.58Jul 27, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$22.29Jul 27, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$38.45Jul 27, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$56.10Jul 27, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$47.64Jul 27, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$172.50Jul 27, 16:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $107.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 22:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 01:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.