Wee-Maternity
0xe1ac76389591472767d83bbda17b03477cb28cc9
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-319.11
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
2600 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-442.40
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
1600 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-268.65
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1405 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-438.04
- NO
Trump wins every swing state?
1200 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-276.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4
650 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4
600 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-43.40
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 4-5%?
500 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14
500 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-13.35
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 3-4%?
500 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?
500 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$1.60Nov 13, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLRecord turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$3.10Nov 13, 17:58 UTC
- REWARD$0.15Nov 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$4.62Nov 6, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$37.38Nov 6, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$42.00Nov 6, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$30.00Nov 6, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$30.00Nov 6, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$11.40Nov 6, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$11.40Nov 6, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$180.00Nov 6, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$87.00Nov 6, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$49.00Nov 6, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$86.00Nov 6, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$30.00Nov 6, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$65.25Nov 6, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$26.17Nov 6, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$5.78Nov 6, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$2.05Nov 6, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$25.00Nov 6, 03:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $30.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 20:58 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 18:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.