Utter-Borrowing
0xe1bef0c48e666ed0c1bfe2111e3403d48c7d3578
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
105
Open notional
$11.15
Total PnL
$-877.51
Realised
$-48.16
Win rate
46%
56 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 105- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 9?
4 shares @ 42.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$3.89
$2.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 11?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$3.24
$2.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 9?
2 shares @ 26.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$2.31
$1.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 11?
2 shares @ 39.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$1.71
$1.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 20?
977 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-266.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 19?
646 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on February 20?
588 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-76.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 20?
520 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on February 20?
229 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 21?
207 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-53.95
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 21?$0.30Apr 21, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 20?$3.41Apr 20, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 21?$2.93Apr 19, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?$8.75Apr 19, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 21?$2.47Apr 19, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?$4.39Apr 19, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 20?$4.39Apr 19, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?$4.56Apr 19, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 21?$4.39Apr 19, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 15?$8.80Apr 14, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 15?$4.39Apr 14, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 15?$4.39Apr 14, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 15?$0.88Mar 14, 23:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 15?$2.93Mar 14, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 16?$2.98Mar 14, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 15?$4.40Mar 14, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 16?$4.45Mar 14, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 16?$2.75Mar 14, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 14?$0.30Mar 14, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 14?$0.10Mar 14, 09:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
46% win rate over 56 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
56 closed markets, 46% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 15:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 04:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 56 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.