Monthly-Vehicle
0xe1bfe132718cedf2e16fc3117c056d5d9c6b6b5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$-1.3K
Win rate
0%
50 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 4?
31060 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-300.59
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
962 shares @ 43.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-416.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
706 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 11?
584 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-79.17
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
385 shares @ 44.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-170.41
- YES
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for less than 2 seconds on October 30, 2025?
353 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
272 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.88
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
250 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.32Jul 29, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$2.55Jul 29, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$5.60Jul 29, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$2.63Jul 29, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$0.01Jul 28, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$0.73Jul 28, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$2.08Jul 28, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$2.76Jul 27, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$7.00Jul 26, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$3.36Jul 26, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$2.93Jul 26, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$3.36Jul 25, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$2.89Jul 24, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$3.23Jul 20, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$9.94Jul 19, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$7.00Jul 19, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.65Jul 19, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$0.71Jul 19, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$2.76Jul 19, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$2.87Jul 19, 01:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 50 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
50 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 21:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 50 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.