Crazy-Availability
0xe1c3121c5fba836a569d9b9ba29dfb22fc462540
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$10.01
Total PnL
$-62.47
Realised
$-0.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.38
$1.38
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" in October?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.00
$1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Pocahontas" in October?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Trump say "Marxism" in October?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Trump say "Little Rocket Man" in October?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Trump and Zelenskyy not shake hands on October 17?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?
80 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- LOS RATONES
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)
50 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-18.76
- NO
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Nine Wars" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
29 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)$2.18Oct 20, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$2.18Oct 20, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)$1.81Oct 20, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: Russian Capture Edition$0.98Oct 20, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)$1.77Oct 20, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$0.83Oct 20, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)$1.00Oct 20, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)$1.00Oct 20, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)$2.00Oct 20, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$1.37Oct 20, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$1.22Oct 20, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$1.25Oct 20, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLCurrent shutdown longest in U.S. history?$1.84Oct 20, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)$9.00Oct 20, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCurrent shutdown longest in U.S. history?$1.00Oct 18, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1.00Oct 18, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?$1.00Oct 18, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$1.00Oct 18, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Russian Capture Edition$1.00Oct 18, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in October?$1.00Oct 18, 14:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 12:52 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 20, 17:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".