Authorized-Amendment
0xe1ca196fdf680b859c567a248e41be3b932aa3fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$5.35
Total PnL
$-2.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?
2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$2.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 58.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.71
$0.71
- NO
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY?
1 shares @ 85.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$1.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Donald Trump attend Joe Biden’s inauguration ceremony in person?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2021$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?
16 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2021$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump's Twitter account be active on March 1, 2021?
6 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2021$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2021$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?$2.00Nov 4, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 4, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1?$0.98Nov 15, 11:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $1.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 11:42 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".