Grandiose-Assumption
0xe1cb02df7c05a8df8f14ada3eff8ff6734957a5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
169 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
164 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
137 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
92 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 21?
59 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?
59 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 21?
59 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 21?
59 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 21?
59 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 21?
59 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?$0.26Jul 12, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?$5.45Jul 12, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?$8.40Jul 12, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$12.37Jul 12, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$6.97Jul 12, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?$5.50Jul 12, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?$1.44Jul 11, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?$11.20Jul 11, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?$8.40Jul 11, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$12.80Jul 10, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$7.60Jul 10, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 21?$0.05Jun 21, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?$0.05Jun 21, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 21?$0.09Jun 21, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 21?$0.59Jun 21, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 21?$0.99Jun 21, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 21?$1.41Jun 21, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 21?$1.82Jun 21, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 21?$0.21Jun 21, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 21?$2.24Jun 21, 13:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 09:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 13:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.