Damaged-Pollution
0xe1d427fe79c59059847a4620221ef8a9560ace4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will CD&V win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Vooruit win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Groen win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will another party win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $200 before 2026??
15 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $230 before 2026??
13 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?
11 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will PTB win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Ecolo win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Suella Braverman be next UK prime minister?
3 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?$0.01Feb 5, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) hit $200 before 2026??$0.01Dec 31, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) hit $230 before 2026??$0.01Dec 31, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another party win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?$0.01Jun 10, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vooruit win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?$0.01Jun 10, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PTB win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?$0.01Jun 10, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD&V win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?$0.01Jun 10, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Groen win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?$0.01Jun 10, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey win the 2024 Euros?$0.01Jun 10, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win the 2024 Euros?$0.01Jun 10, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2024 Euros?$0.01Jun 10, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2024 Euros?$0.01Jun 10, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2024 Euros?$0.01Jun 10, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2024 Euros?$0.01Jun 10, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another party win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?$0.01Jun 10, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vooruit win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?$0.01Jun 10, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD&V win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?$0.01Jun 10, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Groen win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?$0.01Jun 10, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecolo win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?$0.01Jun 10, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by November 7?$0.01May 30, 07:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $0.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 07:47 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 17:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.