Front-Manicure
0xe1d7d3ab9c4495f74801fc5d8a38714054cf6c30
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
5402 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Will BSW win the most seats in the next German election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
11 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayern München end in a draw?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bayern München win on 2025-10-25?$5.30Apr 15, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern München win on 2025-10-25?$4.35Oct 24, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayern München end in a draw?$1.00Oct 24, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$5.36Oct 24, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 450 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$5.40Feb 5, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$1.00Feb 5, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$1.00Feb 5, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$3.00Feb 5, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$1.00Feb 5, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?$1.00Feb 5, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another party win the most seats in the next German election?$1.00Feb 5, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BSW win the most seats in the next German election?$1.00Feb 5, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the most seats in the next German election?$1.00Feb 5, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FDP win the most seats in the next German election?$1.00Feb 5, 01:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 01:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 20:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".