Insignificant-Incubation
0xe1dbf16681a5146986a1914adba70dcdbbfde1bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$54.05
Total PnL
$-377.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- GOLD
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
54 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.05
$34.05
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
10543 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-39.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
2515 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
1663 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
444 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2025?
399 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.94
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?
396 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?
382 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $118,000 October 20-26?$0.00Dec 12, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $118,000 October 20-26?$0.00Dec 12, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0.00Dec 12, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 3?$20.41Nov 18, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by December 31?$1.00Nov 10, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 30?$1.00Nov 10, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$15.00Nov 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$20.00Nov 3, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?$20.00Nov 3, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$20.00Nov 3, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 3?$20.00Nov 3, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 3?$20.00Nov 3, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?$20.00Nov 2, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYDodgers vs. Blue Jays$20.00Nov 2, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$35.00Nov 2, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$40.00Oct 31, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$20.00Oct 31, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Taiwan" during Xi events on October 29?$0.00Oct 31, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" during Xi events on October 29?$10.00Oct 30, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst to 5k: Gold or ETH?$20.00Oct 29, 23:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $25.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 12:23 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 12, 01:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.