Minty-Maternity
0xe1e24a2ae12c8af2f41ac91fea3928423e039629
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$16.7K
Total PnL
$1.7K
Realised
$70.44
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- PACQUIAO
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
20158 shares @ 39.8¢·now 47.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$9.5K
$1.5K
- NO
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
6669 shares @ 93.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.5K
$287.27
- NO
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?
412 shares @ 67.0¢·now 84.2¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$347.25
$70.93
- YES
Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?
221 shares @ 14.8¢·now 55.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$122.83
$90.11
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
126 shares @ 89.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$115.01
$3.01
- NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
60 shares @ 68.8¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$57.33
$16.31
- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
50 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.75
$0.25
- NO
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.24
$0.24
- NO
Will Mohamed Salah join Fenerbahce?
13 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.2¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$11.53
$0.03
- YES
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?
18 shares @ 36.1¢·now 58.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$10.20
$3.84
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFloyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2$23.00Jul 27, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFloyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2$46.00Jul 27, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFloyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2$4.70Jul 27, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?$38.22Jul 27, 00:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?$7.00Jul 26, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?$2.80Jul 26, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?$7.00Jul 26, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?$1.00Jul 26, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohamed Salah join Fenerbahce?$2.31Jul 26, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohamed Salah join Fenerbahce?$9.24Jul 26, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal?$0.09Jul 26, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr?$0.04Jul 26, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?$0.10Jul 26, 08:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?$1.64Jul 25, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?$6.81Jul 25, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?$272.42Jul 25, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?$8.39Jul 25, 17:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $29.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 23:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.