Impartial-Glen
0xe1f40f212c234d13548315921e72e22093b12014
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$99.25
Total PnL
$-548.76
Realised
$-71.54
Win rate
0%
55 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- NO
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?
101 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$99.25
$0.25
- BRAZIL
Spread: Brazil (-5.5)
1843 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- BRAZIL
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
800 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Sweden?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- GERMANY
Spread: Germany (-3.5)
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- SUNS
Suns vs. Thunder
153 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-41.31
- YES
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Sweden?
147 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 England?
104 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Norway?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?$99.16Aug 10, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$98.00Aug 10, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?$1.02Jul 30, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$98.00Jul 30, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?$1.00Jul 30, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$1.2KJul 8, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Colombia?$3.07Jul 7, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?$3.06Jul 7, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?$5.41Jul 7, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 1 - 2 Belgium?$5.14Jul 6, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?$2.06Jul 6, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?$2.06Jul 6, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?$14.67Jul 6, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?$3.46Jul 6, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLPortugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5$2.90Jul 6, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5$23.32Jul 6, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Spain?$3.09Jul 6, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Spain?$1.03Jul 6, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?$27.98Jul 6, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?$17.19Jul 6, 02:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 55 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
55 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $129.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 05:27 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 06:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 55 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.