Realistic-Sibling
0xe1ffc582c6afd38a776b9d0d61b44bc7799da963
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
140
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-359.41
Win rate
25%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 140- CAVALIERS
Celtics vs. Cavaliers
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
1049 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-17.23
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- PACERS
Pacers vs. Lakers
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
583 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$9.89May 18, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.17May 18, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.15May 18, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.07May 18, 18:18 UTC
- REWARD$150.00May 18, 10:57 UTC
- REWARD$0.46May 18, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$0.00May 16, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.05May 16, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.05May 16, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.05May 16, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$3.73May 16, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$5.13May 16, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$5.11May 16, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$5.10May 16, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.26May 16, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.02May 16, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.06May 16, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.82May 16, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.20May 16, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.35May 16, 08:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 18:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.