Amazing-Filing
0xe201e57dd65521679dbb5f516fa7cd3745453195
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$108.64
Total PnL
$4.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
23 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.96
$1.84
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
22 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.08
$1.09
- NO
Netanyahu out by May 31?
21 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.35
$0.23
- NO
Will Solana reach $130 in May?
21 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$21.27
$0.53
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
21 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$20.97
$0.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$21.17May 13, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by May 31?$21.12May 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$21.04May 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$20.52May 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in May?$20.78May 13, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 March 2-8?$20.30May 13, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $140 in March?$20.56May 13, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?$20.84May 13, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$21.05May 13, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?$21.50May 13, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?$21.11Mar 3, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.42Mar 3, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?$20.32Mar 3, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 March 2-8?$20.09Mar 3, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $140 in March?$20.07Mar 3, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill SOL flip ETH in 2025?$20.18Mar 3, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$20.27Mar 3, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$20.32Mar 3, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?$20.34Mar 3, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 December 1-7?$20.70Mar 3, 15:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $21.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 11:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 16:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.