Prudent-Sailor
0xe211d7f352a3cc7185c6c4220347a72bc8fb90d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-60.58
Realised
$0.47
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?
16 shares @ 94.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-14.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 16?
13 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 16?
11 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 17?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 15?
9 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 15?
7 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?
5 shares @ 94.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.72
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 5?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on June 6?
5 shares @ 94.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.72
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?$1.72Jul 23, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?$1.02Jul 23, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 22?$2.44Jul 22, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 22?$1.02Jul 22, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 22?$1.03Jul 22, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 22?$1.03Jul 22, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 22?$1.03Jul 21, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 21?$1.92Jul 21, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 21?$1.59Jul 21, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 21?$1.02Jul 21, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on July 20?$1.43Jul 21, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 21?$1.02Jul 21, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 21?$1.02Jul 21, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 21?$1.04Jul 20, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 20?$2.13Jul 20, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 20?$2.70Jul 20, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on July 20?$1.01Jul 20, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 20?$1.03Jul 20, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 20?$1.03Jul 20, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 18?$1.79Jul 19, 06:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 04:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 23:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.