Verifiable-Coffin
0xe2132ee8e13e48bda5734140887fbba1b0f1f828
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.49
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-796.58
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$5.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
1299 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-586.06
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
733 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-272.25
- YES
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?
136 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?
72 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-33.84
- YES
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
19 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.03Aug 18, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$8.63Aug 18, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$2.93Aug 18, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$74.03Aug 18, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$36.90Aug 18, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$122.46Aug 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$39.48Aug 18, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$19.74Aug 18, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$76.00Aug 18, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$25.07Aug 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$49.35Aug 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$29.61Aug 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$35.01Aug 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$0.19Aug 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$117.21Aug 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$296.99Aug 18, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?$307.97Aug 18, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$70.00Aug 17, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$34.10May 21, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?$34.74May 17, 15:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $66.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 02:20 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 08:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.