Wallet profile

Misguided-Dishwasher

0xe214ef992ad45ee5dba5f8bab5ab16fdff8fc5ce

activity 28/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

28/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

31

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-35.8K

Realised

$-366.30

Win rate

0%

19 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 31

Recent activity

  • REFERRAL_REWARD$8.06Aug 2, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$1.91Aug 1, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$5.13Jul 24, 00:35 UTC
  • YIELD$0.06Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
  • YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
  • REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$999.99Jul 20, 01:51 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$18.19Jul 20, 00:35 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$60.74Jul 19, 01:04 UTC
  • YIELD$0.05Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
  • YIELD$0.05Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
  • YIELD$0.05Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$3.19Jul 16, 00:48 UTC
  • YIELD$0.05Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$21.77Jul 15, 00:35 UTC
  • YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$28.28Jul 14, 00:35 UTC
  • YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
  • TAKER_REBATE$2.69Jul 13, 16:50 UTC
  • REFERRAL_REWARD$34.79Jul 13, 01:02 UTC
  • MAKER_REBATE$3.69Jul 13, 00:45 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

41/100
read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

0% win rate over 19 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

14/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.

Resolved-only track record
review

19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity34 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence63 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry39 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk46 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
21
Avg trade size
$107.12
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 10, 20:47 UTC
Last active
Aug 2, 00:35 UTC
Win rate sample
19 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 03:09:24 UTC·src:Polymarket Data