Memorable-Lift
0xe2196d46af5654af65bba05189b7a1a196bbb7a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$1.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 29?$0.97Mar 29, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 29?$0.34Mar 29, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 29?$0.97Mar 29, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 29?$0.97Mar 29, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMJesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?$11.48Mar 29, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYJesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?$10.22Feb 16, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on October 27?$10.00Oct 28, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on October 27?$9.20Oct 27, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELL100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$1.13Oct 27, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$2.22Oct 27, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?$1.16Oct 27, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$2.00Oct 20, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?$1.09Oct 20, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on October 2?$1.04Oct 13, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on October 2?$1.05Oct 13, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on October 2?$1.14Oct 13, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?$1.00Oct 13, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUY100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$1.00Oct 13, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?$1.00Oct 2, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on October 2?$1.00Oct 2, 12:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $2.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 12:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 08:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.