Frilly-Cut
0xe21c9c369c3c2f664cf7df769f47d234d7892b95
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-149.57
Realised
$-2.17
Win rate
45%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 1PM ET
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on September 29?
115 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
26 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.74
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 1?
15 shares @ 75.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.40
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
12 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.34
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - September 29, 2PM ET
12 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.58
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
11 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 on April 13?$2.95Apr 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$2.94Apr 13, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 2?$4.33Mar 2, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$1.17Mar 2, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$1.00Mar 2, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$1.00Mar 2, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 1?$11.40Mar 1, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1?$11.41Mar 1, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1?$8.47Mar 1, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?$8.47Mar 1, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?$4.19Feb 28, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?$4.11Feb 28, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 28?$5.00Feb 28, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$9.30Feb 21, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$4.13Feb 21, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$3.70Feb 19, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$3.76Feb 19, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$3.75Feb 19, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$0.11Feb 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.00Feb 19, 00:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 23:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 18:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.