Fat-Declination
0xe222a8559e7410cfc5a5e91ef58912c07f3db42b
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-66.99
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
198 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
148 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
148 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.93
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
144 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.93
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
133 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
131 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
119 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.93
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
119 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.93
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
119 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.93
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
119 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.93
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.13Jun 24, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1.04Jun 24, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.04Jun 24, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$2.04Jun 24, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.04Jun 24, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$2.04Jun 24, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.04Jun 24, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.78Jun 23, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.04Jun 23, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1.04Jun 23, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$2.33Jun 23, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.04Jun 23, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$2.13Jun 23, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.04Jun 23, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$2.08Jun 23, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.04Jun 23, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.04Jun 23, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$2.33Jun 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.04Jun 22, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.04Jun 22, 12:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 01:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 20:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.