Pushy-Potato
0xe225470a73dd23ac5447bab935b9eebb4519ea9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$239.60
Total PnL
$-9.33
Realised
$-13.76
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?
134 shares @ 91.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$133.92
$11.92
- YES
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
106 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$105.69
$4.76
- YES
Will FDP be part of the next German government?
67 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-12.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$100.93Feb 19, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FDP be part of the next German government?$96.00Feb 19, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FDP be part of the next German government?$122.00Feb 16, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?$122.00Feb 16, 23:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?$100.00Jan 20, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?$107.00Jan 20, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$0.00Jan 20, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$180.00Oct 23, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump wins every swing state?$134.00Oct 23, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?$20.00Oct 10, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?$4.00Oct 10, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?$40.00Oct 10, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$80.00Oct 8, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?$57.00Oct 8, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel invade Lebanon in September?$0.01Oct 8, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$83.00Oct 6, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?$22.14Oct 6, 00:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel target an Iranian oil or gas facility?$100.00Oct 5, 11:41 UTC
- REWARD$0.20Oct 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel invade Lebanon in September?$1.00Oct 4, 22:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $85.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 15:10 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 13:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.