Granular-Astrologer
0xe22fe903b6c112065935573bda1e1ceb739962c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
174
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-931.49
Realised
$-1.02
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 174- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or below on July 17?
334 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-171.04
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
120 shares @ 54.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-65.07
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
105 shares @ 60.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-63.87
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
89 shares @ 55.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-49.48
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
60 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-32.40
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
53 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-27.03
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
44 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-23.76
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
40 shares @ 54.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-21.89
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
38 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.38
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
27 shares @ 52.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-14.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$4.00Jul 22, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$2.23Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$1.11Jul 22, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$44.00Jul 21, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$24.85Jul 21, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$11.15Jul 21, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$5.01Jul 21, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$2.19Jul 21, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.05Jul 21, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$2.00Jul 21, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.07Jul 21, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$2.00Jul 21, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.07Jul 21, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.09Jul 21, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$4.00Jul 21, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$2.19Jul 21, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.05Jul 21, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$2.00Jul 21, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$1.07Jul 21, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$2.00Jul 21, 17:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $7.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 06:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.