Ecstatic-Quotation
0xe238e9bb75e57c446adb9aab0a9dd7b1fb22acdf
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$5.47
Total PnL
$-4.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.47
$0.77
- YES
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 1?
4 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.30
- NO
US military action against Iran by Sunday?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31?$4.70Oct 29, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by November 5, 2025?$3.77Oct 29, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by November 5, 2025?$3.90Oct 29, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLLecornu out as French PM by October 31?$6.52Oct 29, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Peace" 5+ times during Egypt summit?$3.79Oct 29, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peace" 5+ times during Egypt summit?$3.30Oct 12, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLecornu out as French PM by October 31?$3.80Oct 12, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 1?$3.30Sep 30, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 23-29?$5.56Sep 30, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 23-29?$5.00Sep 22, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran by Sunday?$2.00Jun 20, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBlanchfield vs. Barber$2.23Jun 20, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlanchfield vs. Barber$3.00May 20, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Washington Capitals win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$0.00May 20, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Washington Capitals win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$0.00May 20, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Capitals win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$6.00Mar 25, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$4.81Mar 25, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$5.00Feb 24, 14:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $4.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 14:30 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 29, 13:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".