Dependent-Sneaker
0xe23fc60a32dde33477812fb1520196978d76f6ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-94.92
Realised
$0.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C or higher on April 20?
509 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on May 10?
283 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on May 3?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on May 3?
150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 74°F or higher on May 12?
106 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 3?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on May 5?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on April 22?
83 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 3?
75 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 12?
56 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 23, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 28?$0.03May 28, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 28?$1.05May 26, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on May 28?$3.13May 26, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 28?$3.14May 26, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.74May 26, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$2.39May 26, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by May 31?$2.47May 26, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.90May 26, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$3.45May 26, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by May 31?$1.97May 26, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.49May 26, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.37May 26, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.45May 26, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.26May 26, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by May 31?$1.97May 26, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.71May 26, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.55May 26, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.55May 26, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.41May 26, 06:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 11:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 06:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.