Brisk-Constraint
0xe240d8c7b171ad1c03710b24d57410725d6e20fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
100
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.9K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
35%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
1291 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
1254 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
1148 shares @ 91.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
1136 shares @ 61.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-700.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
1102 shares @ 72.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-800.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
1050 shares @ 95.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
1009 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-988.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
989 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-900.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
975 shares @ 94.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-920.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
931 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-791.36
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$53.00May 21, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$2.01May 21, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.98May 21, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$4.99May 21, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$2.00May 21, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$2.00May 21, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$60.42May 21, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$60.61May 21, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$60.04May 21, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$26.94May 20, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$111.46May 20, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$148.50May 20, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$92.52May 20, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$69.36May 20, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$24.43May 20, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$90.31May 20, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$17.40May 20, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$28.84May 20, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$40.69May 20, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$42.58May 20, 06:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
35% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $31.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 06:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 17:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.