Wallet digest

active

Activity score

61/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$8.27

Total PnL

$-2.06

Realised

$-0.19

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 11

NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of June 15 2026?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026
$1.26
$0.26
YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of June 15 2026?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026
$1.22
$0.22
NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of June 15 2026?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026
$1.07
$0.07
YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 4.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026
$1.05
$0.05
NO
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of June 15 2026?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026
$1.01
$0.01
YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?
6 shares @ 17.3¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$0.90
$-0.10
YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$0.89
$-0.11
YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $780b and $800b on June 30?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$0.44
$-0.56
NO
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of June 15 2026?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026
$0.44
$-0.56
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$0.01Jun 15, 14:31 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$3.43Jun 15, 14:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$3.07Jun 15, 14:15 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$4.26Jun 15, 14:09 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$3.07Jun 15, 14:09 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$8.96Jun 15, 14:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.03Jun 15, 14:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.04Jun 15, 14:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.02Jun 15, 14:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.02Jun 15, 14:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.03Jun 15, 14:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.03Jun 15, 14:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.03Jun 15, 14:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.02Jun 15, 14:07 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$0.00Jun 15, 14:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$3.06Jun 15, 13:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.02Jun 15, 13:47 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$0.00Jun 15, 13:40 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$8.02Jun 15, 13:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.02Jun 15, 13:37 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity70 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry18 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk48 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 39
Avg trade size: $1.93
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jun 15, 12:40 UTC
Last active: Jun 15, 14:31 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 14:48:35 UTC·src:Polymarket Data