Blank-Hail
0xe25cdab15bc7a740ce1258b31f46e26831767908
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.5K
Realised
$-2.9K
Win rate
15%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?
2259 shares @ 76.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 27?
1756 shares @ 44.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-776.79
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
1499 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-564.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on May 10?
1361 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-21.36
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 24?
1120 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 23?
1007 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-214.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 20?
970 shares @ 85.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-832.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 14?
898 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-405.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?
737 shares @ 81.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-603.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 11?
715 shares @ 78.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-559.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 23?$669.03Jun 23, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 23?$545.63Jun 23, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 23?$606.99Jun 23, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 23?$165.39Jun 23, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 23?$201.91Jun 23, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 23?$114.69Jun 23, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 23?$82.47Jun 23, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 23?$40.00Jun 23, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on June 23?$452.79Jun 23, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 23?$4.14Jun 23, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 23?$15.66Jun 23, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 23?$2.25Jun 23, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 23?$2.33Jun 23, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 23?$6.49Jun 23, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 23?$7.06Jun 23, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 23?$2.42Jun 23, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 23?$13.37Jun 23, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 23?$14.52Jun 23, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 23?$22.96Jun 23, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 23?$32.32Jun 23, 06:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
15% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $14.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 04:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 16:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.