Blank-Hail
0xe25cdab15bc7a740ce1258b31f46e26831767908
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.5K
Realised
$-3.6K
Win rate
15%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?
2259 shares @ 76.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 27?
1756 shares @ 44.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-776.79
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
1499 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-564.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on May 10?
1361 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-21.36
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 24?
1120 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 23?
1007 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-214.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 20?
970 shares @ 85.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-832.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 11?
948 shares @ 74.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-705.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 14?
898 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-405.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 10?
779 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-300.22
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.36Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 15?$28.84Jul 15, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 15?$1.29Jul 15, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 15?$4.59Jul 15, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 15?$0.08Jul 15, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 15?$5.12Jul 15, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 15?$2.83Jul 15, 08:53 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.78Jul 13, 16:50 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.67Jul 13, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 12?$431.64Jul 12, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 12?$111.50Jul 12, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 12?$143.81Jul 12, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 12?$130.55Jul 12, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 12?$168.33Jul 12, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 12?$135.63Jul 12, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 12?$247.28Jul 12, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 12?$325.60Jul 12, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 12?$105.31Jul 12, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 12?$11.36Jul 12, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 12?$20.22Jul 12, 06:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
15% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
33 closed markets, 15% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $15.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 05:23 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.