Quixotic-Vitamin
0xe25e5a1b19d2fb85006156f4ecb369f13064197f
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
143
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-13.30
Win rate
26%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 143- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
625 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
116 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-49.74
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
113 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-52.28
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
105 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-52.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
102 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-52.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
102 shares @ 51.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-53.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
101 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-53.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
101 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-53.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
101 shares @ 52.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-52.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
101 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-52.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$5.17Jul 28, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$4.70Jul 28, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$0.01Jul 28, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$0.14Jul 28, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$5.17Jul 28, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$4.88Jul 28, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$5.17Jul 28, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$2.69Jul 27, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$2.64Jul 27, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$4.25Jul 27, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$5.17Jul 27, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$4.78Jul 27, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$5.17Jul 27, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$4.38Jul 27, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$9.43Jul 27, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$5.16Jul 27, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.00Jul 27, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$4.32Jul 27, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$5.16Jul 27, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$4.97Jul 26, 21:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
68/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
26% win rate over 34 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
34 closed markets, 26% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 15:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.