Sentimental-Hiccups
0xe2612b6035f598db8b79c777664b80cdab612261
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-156.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
506 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will Opalite by Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
424 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
143 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-71.50
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 5?
90 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 30?
74 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-37.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$120.00Feb 16, 12:20 UTC
- SPLITWill Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$120.00Jan 27, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?$70.00Jan 15, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?$69.51Jan 13, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 11?$70.00Jan 12, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 11?$69.93Jan 10, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8?$80.00Jan 9, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8?$79.92Jan 7, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 5?$90.00Jan 7, 08:50 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 5?$90.00Jan 2, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 30?$74.00Jan 1, 10:07 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 30?$74.00Dec 28, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 25?$80.00Dec 26, 10:13 UTC
- SPLITWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 25?$80.00Dec 22, 15:57 UTC
- MERGEWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$107.00Dec 21, 19:27 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$107.00Dec 16, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.05Dec 8, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.39Dec 7, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 6, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opalite by Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.70Dec 4, 17:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $54.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 15:15 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 12:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.