Informal-Corporatism
0xe2659b6ff0cf5ae9da207025f50d637f18da551d
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$7.19
Total PnL
$-20.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
30 shares @ 28.5¢·now 13.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.16
$-4.42
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
3 shares @ 44.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.64
$0.31
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
3 shares @ 54.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.40
$-0.23
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 20°C on April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on April 30?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 30?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $9.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.41May 12, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on April 30?$0.10Apr 30, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or higher on April 30?$0.36Apr 30, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 30?$1.02Apr 29, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on April 30?$1.02Apr 29, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 30?$1.02Apr 29, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30?$1.03Apr 29, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or higher on April 30?$1.05Apr 29, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on April 30?$1.04Apr 29, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 30?$1.02Apr 29, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 30?$1.05Apr 29, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on April 30?$1.05Apr 29, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 20°C on April 30?$1.05Apr 29, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on April 30?$1.05Apr 29, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 30?$1.05Apr 29, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 30?$1.05Apr 29, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 30?$1.05Apr 29, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on April 30?$1.05Apr 29, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$1.62Apr 27, 18:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 08:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.