Identical-Speed
0xe26f46c6db4571b0599d44fce7051fcb44521545
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-636.58
Win rate
0%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
268 shares @ 74.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
245 shares @ 35.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-86.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
133 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
130 shares @ 56.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-74.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
117 shares @ 68.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-79.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
107 shares @ 45.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-48.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
89 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-47.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
85 shares @ 56.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-47.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
83 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-37.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
82 shares @ 60.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-49.78
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$131.69Aug 19, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$119.05Aug 19, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$101.68Aug 19, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$101.12Aug 19, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$225.86Aug 19, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$100.18Aug 19, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$101.33Aug 19, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Aug 19, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$179.63Aug 19, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$103.10Aug 19, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$188.30Aug 19, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$165.48Aug 19, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$101.60Aug 19, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$101.95Aug 19, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$3.94Aug 19, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$102.03Aug 19, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$156.25Aug 19, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$102.52Aug 19, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$101.75Aug 19, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$105.15Aug 19, 07:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $88.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 06:56 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.