Firsthand-Guitarist
0xe27afabb990f8431199ee97d82bf81df2e96df6f
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$9.01
Total PnL
$-1.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-22?$9.00Oct 22, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMDolphins vs. Browns$4.02Oct 22, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMPatriots vs. Titans$5.01Oct 22, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPatriots vs. Titans$5.00Oct 19, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDolphins vs. Browns$4.00Oct 19, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMElon no longer world's richest before July?$1.04Oct 19, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum outperforms Bitcoin on August 5?$1.10Oct 19, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $3500 on August 5 at 5PM ET?$4.03Oct 19, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on August 5?$2.00Aug 5, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum outperforms Bitcoin on August 5?$1.00Aug 5, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $3500 on August 5 at 5PM ET?$4.00Aug 5, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon no longer world's richest before July?$1.00Jun 7, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMTulsa vs. Wichita State$0.00Jun 7, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Mavericks$1.37Jun 7, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTulsa vs. Wichita State$1.00Mar 9, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Mavericks$1.00Mar 9, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMNHL 4 Nations: Sweden vs. Finland$0.00Mar 9, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMArkansas vs. Texas A&M$1.30Mar 9, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYArkansas vs. Texas A&M$1.00Feb 15, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNHL 4 Nations: Sweden vs. Finland$1.00Feb 15, 10:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $6.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 18:57 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 22, 20:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.