0xe27b91bb3b8f991f49e5e1e8d90524e73e9f858f
0xe27b91bb3b8f991f49e5e1e8d90524e73e9f858f
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$306.26
Total PnL
$-52.11
Realised
$-7.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- ANGELS
Rays vs. Angels
150 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$150.26
$70.62
- ASTROS
Astros vs. Marlins
150 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$150.00
$81.00
- YES
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-01?
6 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2025$6.00
$4.20
- DODGERS
Cardinals vs. Dodgers
150 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-93.10
- YANKEES
Yankees vs. Rangers
150 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-85.50
- CUBS
Reds vs. Cubs
27 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-15.05
- YES
Will Netherlands beat Spain?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.14
- NO
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?
6 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will Portugal beat Denmark?
3 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.51
Recent activity
- MERGEReds vs. Cubs$123.12Aug 4, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYReds vs. Cubs$52.94Aug 4, 20:30 UTC
- MERGEGuardians vs. Mets$150.00Aug 4, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYGuardians vs. Mets$54.00Aug 4, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYYankees vs. Rangers$85.50Aug 4, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYAstros vs. Marlins$69.00Aug 4, 12:51 UTC
- MERGEBrewers vs. Braves$149.73Aug 4, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrewers vs. Braves$63.00Aug 4, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrewers vs. Braves$6.72Aug 4, 11:20 UTC
- MERGEBrewers vs. Braves$12.27Aug 4, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrewers vs. Braves$84.00Aug 4, 11:14 UTC
- MERGEBrewers vs. Braves$0.12Aug 4, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrewers vs. Braves$5.21Aug 4, 10:59 UTC
- MERGEBrewers vs. Braves$149.88Aug 4, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrewers vs. Braves$82.50Aug 4, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRays vs. Angels$77.38Aug 4, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRays vs. Angels$2.26Aug 4, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMTigers vs. Phillies$150.00Aug 4, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrewers vs. Braves$15.48Aug 4, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMCardinals vs. Padres$145.45Aug 4, 01:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $47.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 00:09 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.