Likely-Zinc
0xe2806c777ed49c59d59b1ab8384e3fc3d1ceef5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$132.70
Total PnL
$-278.66
Realised
$0.92
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
189 shares @ 10.6¢·now 11.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.55
$2.55
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
800 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1136 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.89
$-5.11
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
625 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.06
$4.06
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.93
$-1.07
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1667 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
192 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
119 shares @ 8.4¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.87
$-1.13
- YES
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 42.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$5.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.75
$-1.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.10Jun 13, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$2.05Jun 13, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score$8.70Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score$4.06Jun 12, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27Jun 12, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 12, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30Jun 12, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.28Jun 12, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.54Jun 12, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.45Jun 12, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.45Jun 12, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.73Jun 12, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.59Jun 12, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)$2.06May 3, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)$1.03May 3, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-03?$5.11May 3, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$8.20May 3, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)$8.14May 3, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03?$10.10May 3, 18:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 18:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.