Wallet digest

active

Activity score

54/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$10.56

Total PnL

$-10.43

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 11

YES
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
4 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026
$4.08
$0.08
NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
4 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026
$4.02
$0.02
YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
1 shares @ 69.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026
$1.44
$0.44
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$1.02
$0.02
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025
$0.00
$-3.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
3 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00
YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-0.99
DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00

Recent activity

REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.00Feb 20, 09:18 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.00Feb 20, 09:18 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$0.00Feb 20, 09:18 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.00Feb 20, 09:18 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$0.00Feb 20, 09:18 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$2.29Feb 20, 09:18 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$0.00Feb 20, 09:18 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$0.00Feb 20, 09:18 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.00Feb 20, 09:18 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Feb 20, 09:18 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.00Feb 20, 09:06 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Feb 20, 09:02 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.00Feb 20, 09:02 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.00Feb 20, 09:02 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$0.00Feb 20, 09:02 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.00Feb 20, 09:02 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$0.00Feb 20, 09:02 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$0.00Feb 20, 09:02 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$0.00Feb 20, 09:02 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.00Feb 20, 09:02 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity21 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry18 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk59 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 6
Avg trade size: $15.17
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 20, 08:29 UTC
Last active: Feb 20, 09:18 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 18:50:43 UTC·src:Polymarket Data