Sophisticated-Flexibility
0xe2860da379e5b61d44be5b0583745788264a43d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$43.91
Total PnL
$-66.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
21 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$21.05
$13.05
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
145 shares @ 10.3¢·now 9.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.38
$-1.62
- YES
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
9 shares @ 64.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.47
$3.37
- NO
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
1586 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-13.46
- YES
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?
760 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?
48 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $125-135m?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 19 at 5PM ET?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 29, 00:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 28, 01:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 27, 00:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 00:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.