Bubbly-Contrary
0xe28691f346b2f142f22f343089325383ec595972
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-163.64
Realised
$3.37
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
464 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
126 shares @ 57.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-72.73
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
25 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.71
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
23 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
16 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.28
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
14 shares @ 37.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.25
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.80
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
12 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.56
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
11 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.79
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$5.17May 2, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.03May 2, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$1.33Apr 27, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$5.00Apr 27, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.59Apr 27, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.00Apr 27, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$0.91Apr 27, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.00Apr 27, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$1.65Apr 27, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$1.00Apr 27, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$5.99Apr 27, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$5.00Apr 27, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.54Apr 26, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.00Apr 26, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$1.23Apr 26, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$0.78Apr 26, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$1.00Apr 26, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.55Apr 26, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.00Apr 26, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.00Apr 26, 07:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
54% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 07:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 07:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.